CSEC ADDITIONAL MATHEMATICS · SECTION 4 · LESSON D3

Probability: Sample Space, Laws, the Addition Rule and Venn Diagrams

Experiments, outcomes, sample spaces and events, classical probability and relative frequency, the basic laws, the addition rule, mutually exclusive events and Venn diagrams.

Probability and StatisticsS4 B.1S4 B.2S4 B.3S4 B.4S4 B.5≈ 40 min🎮 3 games
Before you start

By the end of this lesson you can…

Step 1 · Watch

Explainer video

5 narrated scenes. Press play, listen and read along — the points appear as they are explained. Use ‹ Prev / Next › or the scene bar to jump to any scene.

LESSON D3 · EXPLAINER

Probability: Sample Space, Laws, the Addition Rule and Venn Diagrams

Probability turns “likely” and “unlikely” into numbers between 0 and 1 — and set language and Venn diagrams make the rules visual.

Narration uses your device’s built-in voice. No sound? Switch to “Captions only” — the captions advance on their own.

Step 2 · Read

Key notes

Copy these into your notebook in your own words — that is how they stick.

Vocabulary

Experiment, outcome, sample space S, event (a subset of S).

Classical probability

P(A) = n(A)/n(S) (equally likely outcomes, S finite).

Relative frequency

successes ÷ trials estimates probability.

Basic laws

ΣP = 1; 0 ≤ P ≤ 1; P(A′) = 1 − P(A).

Addition rule

P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B).

Mutually exclusive

P(A ∩ B) = 0.

Venn diagram

Rectangle = S; circles = events; regions sum to 1.

Complement

Use 1 − P for “at least one” and “not”.

EXAM TIPS & COMMON MISTAKES

  • List the sample space systematically (a grid for two dice) so no outcomes are missed.
  • Subtract the overlap in the addition rule unless the events are mutually exclusive.
  • Check Venn regions sum to 1 (or to the total number).
  • Give probabilities as fractions in lowest terms, or decimals.
Play & practise

Games

3 quick games on this lesson. Earn XP and badges as you play — your best score for each game is saved. Games are for practice and do not change your exam readiness. More games in the Additional Mathematics Arcade.

Step 3 · Practise

Paper 1 practice — multiple choice

8 items modelled on real CSEC Paper 1 questions. Choose one answer for each, then check. Aim for 80% or better. Work each item on paper first.

Adapted from CSEC P1 May/June 2024 (card deck item)

1. A deck of 108 cards includes 4 “Wild Draw Four” cards. The probability of NOT drawing a “Wild Draw Four” is

Answer: C. 104/108.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.4

2. P(A) = 0.7, P(B) = 0.4 and P(A ∪ B) = 0.8. P(A ∩ B) is

Answer: B. 0.7 + 0.4 − 0.8.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.5

3. A and B are mutually exclusive with P(A) = 0.35 and P(B) = 0.45. P(A ∪ B) is

Answer: C. Add.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.2

4. A fair die is rolled once. The probability of an even number is

Answer: D. 3/6.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.2

5. Two fair dice are rolled. The probability that the sum is 7 is

Answer: A. 6/36.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.3

6. In a Venn diagram: only piano 0.30, both 0.15, only guitar 0.40. The probability of neither is

Answer: B. 1 − 0.85.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.3

7. If P(A) = 0.3, then P(A′) is

Answer: C. 1 − 0.3.
CSEC Paper 01 style · SO B.2

8. The relative frequency of a six is 12/60 after 60 rolls. This equals

Answer: B. 12 ÷ 60.
Step 4 · Apply

Paper 2 practice — structured questions

Write full answers, then reveal the mark scheme and tick the points you earned (22 marks in total). Show all your working — method marks count. Your answers are saved on this device.

CSEC Paper 02 style · Section 4 (Probability laws)

Question 1 [13 marks]

Events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.5 and P(A ∪ B) = 0.8.

(a) Find P(A ∩ B). [2]

MARK SCHEME — (a) (max 2)

(b) Draw a Venn diagram showing the probability in each region. [3]

MARK SCHEME — (b) (max 3)

(c) Find P(A′ ∩ B) and P((A ∪ B)′). [3]

MARK SCHEME — (c) (max 3)

(d) Are A and B mutually exclusive? Give a reason. [2]

MARK SCHEME — (d) (max 2)

(e) A fair die is rolled twice. Find the probability that the sum is 8 or both rolls are the same. [3]

MARK SCHEME — (e) (max 3)

CSEC Paper 02 style · Section 4 (Probability with a Venn diagram)

Question 2 [9 marks]

In a music club, 0.30 of the members play only piano, 0.15 play both piano and guitar and 0.40 play only guitar. The rest play neither.

(a) Find the probability that a member plays neither instrument. [2]

MARK SCHEME — (a) (max 2)

(b) Find P(piano) and P(guitar). [2]

MARK SCHEME — (b) (max 2)

(c) Show that P(piano ∪ guitar) = P(piano) + P(guitar) − P(both). [3]

MARK SCHEME — (c) (max 3)

(d) The club has 120 members. How many play at least one instrument? [2]

MARK SCHEME — (d) (max 2)

Your progress

Lesson readiness

0%
READY
Not started
Video watched (20%)0%
Multiple choice (40%)0%
Structured (40%)0%

Sources

Where this topic appears in CSEC papers

Find these in your own past-paper booklets for extra timed practice. Items above are written in the style of these papers; any adapted from a specific question say so.